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Does Bilateral Trade Agreement Promote Extensive and Intensive Margins of Exports? The case of Indonesia

Authors

  • Rangga Adityo Nugroho Rikkyo University
  • Makoto Kakinaka Rikkyo University

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.36574/jpp.v10i1.712

Keywords:

bilateral trade agreement, extensive margin, intensive margin, gravity model, Indonesia, export diversification

Abstract

This study investigates the association of bilateral trade agreements (BTAs) with Indonesia’s export performance, focusing on the extensive margin (diversification of exported products) and the intensive margin (increased trade volumes of existing products). Using gravity model data from 2004 to 2022 across 57 countries, the findings shows that BTAs have a significantly positive relationship with real exports, extensive margins, and intensive margins, especially in manufactured goods. Other positive factors include plurilateral trade agreements (PTAs), economic size, historical ties, and common language, while geographic distance remains a trade barrier.

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Published

30-04-2026 — Updated on 01-05-2026

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How to Cite

Does Bilateral Trade Agreement Promote Extensive and Intensive Margins of Exports? The case of Indonesia. (2026). Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning, 10(1), 260-283. https://doi.org/10.36574/jpp.v10i1.712